Kentucky Derby

[deltasports]

INTERESTING FACT
===================================

SCAT DADDY IS THE ONLY 3YR OLD TO GO INTO THE DERBY AS A WINNER OF

5 RACES WITH 4 BEING IN GRADED STAKES & 2 OF THEM BEING GRADE 1's
------------------------------------------------------------------------

HARD SPUN IS THE ONLY OTHER 3 YR OLD THAT HAS WON 5 OUT OF 6 RACES
BUT ONLY 2 GRADED STAKES
------------------------------------------------------------------------

NOBIZ LIKE SHOWBIZ HAS WON 4 RACES WITH 3 GRADED & ONE OF THEM BEING A G1
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

CIRCULAR QUAY HAS WON 4 RACES OF WHICH 3 WERE GRADED WITH ONE OF THEM BEING A G1
------------------------------------------------------------------------

[Jerfi]

I'll take those 5 as a field bet at 20/1, please ... :)

[sdi1958]

Based on the SS work out today @ CD, 59/ 5fb. You might not need a field wager to get 20/1 on all those horses.$)

[diamondjoe]

Hard Spun and Nobizlikeshowbiz, seem to be the 2 that stand out for me, although Street Sense may be coming into a peak performance. Curlin is an X factor. Is he another Smarty Jones, or another Discreet Cat who was crushed in Dubai last month? A short price says he's the later.
The one I'm really curious about, especially at a possible boxcar price if he runs, is Slew's Tizzy. A horse that can run win impressively going against a track bias, must have at least a little talent. When you also consider that he's out of Tiznow, who won the BC classic twice in a row going the classic distance......? The only knock might be the short rest between races, but Charismatic pulled it off some years back, so if the owners do send him to Kentucky, expect a big effort at a huge price. Hard Spun might be the odd man out for me if the track on Derby day is not favoring speed. He has yet to show that he's comfortable in a rating position, which will hurt his chances if there is some unforseen speed duel, but the pedigree says look out otherwise.
Zanjero looks like a strong possibility for a piece, but perhaps he may have a better chance at taking the Belmont. Scat Daddy may be over looked, and will probably be worth a long look from a class POV at a good price.
The rest of the field looks "happy to be there" and will probably fill out the bottom of the exotics, assuming they even finish the race.
Anyways, being as I'm still years away from being a millionaire, these are nothing more than debateable opinions, so good luck with your own personal lines. I will hopefully make a contender to share with all once the lineup and post positions are finalized next Wednesday. $) ds: do;